Pakistan Floods and Climate Change

Here a highly interesting article on the links between the recent floods in Pakistan and climate change, and the consequences from that. A short summary:

  • the floods in Pakistan, which affected up to 20 million people (sic!), can be explained as an extreme weather event due to climate change (furthermore, the cause is the same as in case of the heat wave in Russia and floods in China);
  • such extreme weather events have high economic and social costs;
  • the international community is not able to bear these costs at the moment – not because of a general lack of funds, but because of missing commitments.

[UPDATE 14/06/24] The attribution of concrete weather events to climate change should be viewed as very problematic. It might be justified for campaigning purposes, but it has little to do with science. Climate science cannot even tell us with certainty what the exact effect of climate change on extreme weather events is–whether they are likely to become more frequent (which is now mostly questioned) or whether they will be more severe. And even if we would know this, we still are only able to say whether climate change influenced the probability of an extreme weather event–which is not the same as to say that it caused this event. Furthermore, most such events–and floods in particular–have many other causes than just climate, many of which are man-made (e.g., location of settlements, degradation of mangroves and riparian forests, modification of river beds).



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